Incline Village at Lake Tahoe, Nevada Real Estate and Community News

June 12, 2017

REAL ESTATE AND MORTGAGE RATES - LAST WEEK IN REVIEW AND FORECAST FOR THIS WEEK

Despite big headline events at home and abroad this week, Stock and Bond markets were relatively quiet.

Former FBI Director James Comey testified before the Senate Intelligence Committee. And residents of the United Kingdom went to the polls in a snap general election as the U.K. unravels its relationship with the European Union. These were big events that didn't really move markets.

Perhaps this signals a calm before the storm heading into the June 13-14 Federal Open Market Committee meeting where expectations are that the Fed will raise its benchmark Fed Funds Rate another 0.25 percent to a range of 1.0 to 1.25 percent. This is the rate banks lend to one another overnight, and it does not directly impact long-term rates like home loan rates.

In housing news, home prices continued to surge in April. Data analytics firm CoreLogic reported that home prices, including distressed sales, rose 6.9 percent from April 2016 to April 2017. Month over month, prices were up 1.6 percent from March to April. Looking ahead, CoreLogic sees a 5.1 percent gain from April 2017 to April 2018. Low home loan rates and limited inventory have caused "a bidding frenzy" in some metro markets as "multiple contracts are placed on a single home," CoreLogic said.

At this time, home loan rates remain near seven-month lows.

If you or someone you know is in the market for a home or has any questions about home loan rates, please contact me today. I'd be happy to help.

Forecast for the Week

Investors will have a lot to unpack in the next week. The Fed's monetary policy statement will be released following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Data releases will cover a broad spectrum of the U.S. economy.

Inflation numbers from the Producer Price Index and Consumer Price Index will be released on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.

Retail Sales along with the Fed's monetary policy statement will be shared Wednesday.

Regional manufacturing data will be released Thursday in the Philadelphia Fed Index and Empire State Index.

As usual, weekly Initial Jobless Claims also will be available Thursday.

On Friday, Housing Starts, Building Permits and the Consumer Sentiment Index will be reported.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve. In contrast, strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.

When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving. When Bond prices are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

To go one step further, a red "candle" means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green "candle" means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes are on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.

As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds experienced little movement this week. Home loan rates remain near historic lows.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday Jun 09, 2017)

Posted in Real Estate News
June 5, 2017

REAL ESTATE AND MORTGAGE RATES - LAST WEEK IN REVIEW AND FORECAST FOR THIS WEEK

Many more people found jobs in May, although job growth came in below expectations. Unemployment hit a 16-year low.

The Labor Department reported that job growth rose by 138,000 in May, below the 185,000 expected. March and April numbers were revised lower by 66,000. On a more positive note, the Unemployment Rate fell to a 16-year low of 4.3 percent and is at a new post-crisis low. Total unemployment, or the U6 number, fell to 8.4 percent, down from 9.4 percent last year. Rounding out the report, average hourly earnings rose 0.2 percent versus the 0.3 percent expected and were up 2.5 percent from May 2016.

Consumer inflation ticked up slightly from March to April. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), which excludes food and energy, was up 0.2 percent versus the 0.1 percent expected. Year over year, April Core PCE was down 1.5 percent from 1.6 percent.

Home price gains remain strong. The March S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index rose 5.9 percent year over year from March 2016, matching the February reading. Gains are the biggest since July 2014. From February to March, prices were up 0.9 percent.

Although the Dow crushed its record-breaking high recently, home loan rates have been hovering near six-month lows.

If you or someone you know has any questions , please contact me today. I'd be happy to help.

Forecast for the Week

Investors will need to rely on other news to guide investment decisions in a week of few economic reports.

Economic data kicks off on Monday with the release of first quarter Productivity and the ISM Services Index.

The only other economic report will be Thursday's weekly Initial Jobless Claims.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve. In contrast, strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.

When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving. When Bond prices are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

To go one step further, a red "candle" means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green "candle" means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes are on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.

As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds hit six-month highs recently. Home loan rates remain near historic lows.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday Jun 02, 2017)

Posted in Real Estate News
June 2, 2017

FAT SNOWPACK MEANS SKINNY BEACHES

Winter may be over, but the heavy snowpack will mean narrower beaches, delayed access to high-elevation hiking and biking trails, and potential flooding. At the end of March, California Department of Water Resources staff found the equivalent of 45.8 inches of water, 164 percent of the historical average, in the statewide snowpack. “We still have a very substantial snowpack, particularly in the higher elevations in the central and southern Sierra,” said Frank Gehrke, chief of the California Cooperative Snow Surveys Program. Some areas around Lake Tahoe broke alltime snow-depth records, with Heavenly Mountain Resort reporting 659 inches of snow. A Natural Resources Conservation Service SNOTEL site at Mt. Rose Ski Tahoe in Nevada recorded 194 inches of snow containing the equivalent of 83.7 inches of water in early April. Water content in the snow was 227 percent of the median, an all-time April 1 record. “In the Lake Tahoe, Truckee, Carson and Walker basins, the 2017 snowpack ranks among the top handful of years, especially, at sites above 8,000 feet elevation,” the report said. Changes to Lake Tahoe are apparent. Stretches of beach widened by five years of drought were narrowed, and streams were swollen to at or above their banks. Piers and boat ramps were inundated again. Areas with a rocky shoreline may be inaccessible, the U.S. Forest Service said. “In marshes and wetlands, higher water is pushing the waterfowl nesting habitat toward the edges, and therefore in closer contact with recreationists,” said Forest Service Public Affairs Specialist Lisa Herron. “Please avoid these areas and do not allow dogs to enter the marshes or wetlands. This will allow waterfowl to nest without disruption.” The area between the natural rim of Lake Tahoe, at 6,223 feet above sea level, and the maximum legal limit of 6,229.1 feet of elevation acts as a reservoir, with outflows at the Tahoe City Dam controlled by the U.S. District Court Water Master in Reno. The office began spilling water from the dam in February. In April 2016, the lake level hovered around the natural rim. April 2017 saw the biggest rise in water levels in 118 years of record keeping, said Water Master Chad Blanchard. Sierra snowmelt usually peaks in late The bike path outside Tahoe City sits beneath the Truckee River this spring. Officials warn visitors that their favorite beaches may be inaccessible this summer due to the higher water levels. Summer clarity declines while winter shows big improvement Lake Tahoe clarity levels in 2016 increased in winter and decreased in summer, according to annual readings taken by the University of California, Davis Tahoe Environmental Research Center (TERC). Readings for summer are attributed to the continuing effects of climate change, researchers at U.C. Davis said. The summer declines were so large that they outweighed the substantially improved winter clarity, which was the best since 2012. TERC and the Tahoe Regional Planning Agency released the clarity measurement for Lake Tahoe for 2016 in May. The data show the average annual clarity level for 2016 at 69.2 feet, which is a 3.9-foot decrease from the previous year but still more than 5 feet greater than the lowest recorded average of 64.1 feet in 1997. The 2016 clarity level is the average of 30 individual readings taken from January through December 2016. The highest value recorded in 2016 was an astounding 95.1 feet on Jan. 25, and the lowest was 44.3 feet on June 7. Despite 2016’s summer decline, the data record indicates that Lake Tahoe’s long-term trend of clarity decline ended about 15 years ago. Since then, clarity has hovered around a value of 71 feet but with sizable interannual and seasonal variability. In addition, Lake Tahoe met its first five-year target for clarity restoration. In 2011, the Regional Environmental Protection Agency administrator and the governors of California and Nevada signed a commitment to restore the historic clarity of Lake Tahoe over the next 65 years. They also established interim targets to assess our progress toward the goal, 71 feet of clarity by 2016 and 78 feet of clarity by 2026. The five-year annual average clarity increased to 73 feet in 2016, a 5-foot improvement since 2011 and 2 feet better than the target established by the two states for 2016. Hitting this first milestone is an historic accomplishment. May or early June, but peak flows may come later this year. Temperatures and additional precipitation help determine the runoff peak, and heat waves and rains could increase the risk of flooding as the snow melts. “Rivers and streams will be running cold, fast, and high this year,” Herron said. “Avoid areas that are already flooded, especially if the water is flowing fast, and don’t try to cross swift-moving rivers and streams.” Backcountry users should be prepared for snow well into the summer. The Forest Service encourages people to stay on designated roads and trails and avoid wet roads and trails to minimize damage. Will Tahoe remain full for several years or is this year’s high level temporary? “We’ll just have to wait and see,” Blanchard said. The large snow year eased drought restrictions in California, but conservation remains important.

Posted in Community News
May 31, 2017

TAHOE AIRBNB USE UP 50 PERCENT OVER LAST SKI SEASON

Ski resorts weren't the only ones to profit from this year's snowfall totals.

Lake Tahoe-area Airbnb hosts earned $32 million this past ski season, a 50 percent increase from last year, according to a lake-wide report issued by the company on May 3.

But it's not just earnings that went up. Total Airbnb guests in Lake Tahoe jumped 48 percent over last ski season, amounting to 185,000 visitors according to the report. The bulk of the trips made were in December, followed closely by January and February.

"This winter with the epic snow, we were fully booked," said Airbnb host Biren Talati. "We were booked so much, it kind of affected the ability for us to come up.

Talati is a Bay Area resident, who said he's been traveling to Lake Tahoe for years. He purchased a property in Incline Village in December 2015, and credits Airbnb with enabling him to do so.

"With the ability to do Airbnb, it made it affordable for my family to purchase," he said.

Even with this year's record-breaking precipitation that caused road closures and power outages throughout the region, Talati said he has been experiencing high demand for his rental.

"The Bay Area is the most common (visitor origin), but we get people from all over," he said. "It's an international destination."

This past ski season, more than 50 percent of Airbnb visitors in Lake Tahoe were from Bay Area cities, according to the report. Visitors from Los Angeles made up 2.6 percent of Airbnb stays, and travelers from Sacramento made up 2 percent. About 33 percent of visits were during weekdays.

"In a year like this where there was a lot of excitement about the snow, there was definitely a lot of interest and inquiries," said Airbnb host Melanie Meharchand. "I saw an interest in people staying more than just the weekend, so that's the way that I perceived there being a greater demand this year."

Meharchand is a Bay Area resident, who has owned a home near Donner Lake for about five years. She said she and her family used to come up every weekend, but as her kids grew older and had more activities to attend, the family wasn't able to make the drive as frequently. She said they began renting their home on Airbnb about a year and a half ago, and prior to that had done so on occasion on their own.

"The first fear you have is that people are going to trash your stuff, but after that first time I realized it was much like when my friends used the place, except the Airbnb people paid me," she said.

Meharchand said that while getting paid was nice, and helped them make improvements to the house that they otherwise would not have been able to afford, she also just didn't want the home to sit unused.

"It was less about the mortgage for me and more about the thought that I had this resource to use," she said. That kind of appeals to me — the idea that other families could use it (the home) too."

Of the $32 million total earned by Airbnb hosts in Lake Tahoe this ski season, $7.9 million of that went to hosts in Truckee, which received 37,200 guests using Airbnb alone in the last year.

Posted in Community News
May 16, 2017

REAL ESTATE AND MORTGAGE RATES - LAST WEEK IN REVIEW AND FORECAST FOR THIS WEEK

After two sluggish months of sales, consumers opened their pocketbooks in April.

Consumers ramped up their spending at auto dealers, hardware stores and e-commerce outlets. April Retail Sales rose 0.4 percent from the 0.1 percent in March, which was revised up from -0.3 percent. Increased consumer spending could boost economic growth in the second quarter, as it makes up two-thirds of the nation's economic activity.

There was important news on inflation, as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was up 0.2 percent in April, in line with estimates. The year-over-year number declined to 2.2 percent from 2.4 percent in March, which was Bond-friendly news. When stripping out volatile food and energy numbers, the Core CPI saw a 0.1 percent gain in April, just below expectations. Year-over-year Core CPI also slipped to 1.9 percent from the +2 percent that has been the norm over the past 12 months, which was more good news for Bonds.

Meanwhile, wholesale inflation, as measured by the Producer Price Index (PPI), jumped 0.5 percent in March, above the 0.2 percent expected. Year-over-year, PPI surged 2.5 percent, the largest increase since moving 2.8 percent for the 12-month period ending February 2012.

Inflation is an important measure to watch because inflationary pressures can reduce the value of fixed investments, like Mortgage Bonds, and the home loan rates tied to them.

At this time, home loan rates remain attractive and near historic lows.

If you or someone you know is in the market for a new home or a home refinance, please contact me. I'd be happy to answer any questions about home loan rates and products.

Forecast for the Week

Manufacturing and housing data are sprinkled throughout what may be a less volatile week in the markets.

Regional manufacturing data comes via the Empire State Index on Monday and the Philadelphia Fed Index on Thursday.

Housing Starts and Building Permits will be delivered on Tuesday.

As usual, weekly Initial Jobless Claims also will be reported on Thursday.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve. In contrast, strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.

When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving. When Bond prices are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

To go one step further, a red "candle" means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green "candle" means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes are on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.

As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds reacted to bond-friendly inflation news, regaining some lost ground. Home loan rates remain attractive and near historic lows.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday May 12, 2017)

Posted in Real Estate News
May 12, 2017

INCLINE VILLAGE; A HIDEAWAY WHERE BILLIONAIRES COME TO PLAY.... AND SAVE ON TAXES

Many affluent executives become residents of this picturesque Incline Village before a major liquidity event...

Come for fun in the sun – stay for tax advantages! Incline Village is a little bit of paradise on the Nevada side of Lake Tahoe — the skiing mecca — where on “Billionaires’ Row,” bold-face names like Michael Milken; Larry Ellison, Oracle co-founder; David Duffield, PeopleSoft co-founder; and Gene Pretti, CEO of investment managers Zazove, boast lavish mansions on the big blue lake.

Many affluent executives — especially those in California’s tech and financial industries – prior to a major liquidation event, establish residency in Incline, a tony sun-drenched playground of winter and summer sports. Why do they come? Nevada has no state personal, business or corporate income tax. Besides, Incline Village is a gorgeous place.

 

Incline Village, on Lake Tahoe, offers privacy for celebrities

With the Silver State’s secrecy laws around corporations, Incline has a reputation as a tax haven where investors register shell corporations and set-up residency to escape tax liability. Incline's nickname: “Income Village.”

Posted in Community News
May 8, 2017

REAL ESTATE AND MORTGAGE RATES - LAST WEEK IN REVIEW AND FORECAST FOR THIS WEEK

More hardworking Americans were getting jobs in April, as the labor market bounced back from March.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that 211,000 jobs were created, above the 180,000 expected. The weak March number of 98,000 was revised lower to 79,000. February was revised higher to 232,000 from 219,000. The Unemployment Rate fell to 4.4 percent, the lowest level in 10 years. Within the report, it showed that total unemployment, or the U-6 number, fell to 8.6 percent from 8.9 percent, the lowest since November 2011 before the onset of the Great Recession.

The Fed left its monetary policy unchanged at its May 2-3 meeting, noting there were signs of strength in the labor market and that inflation was near its target of 2 percent. The Fed also said that it felt the weak first quarter economic growth was "transitory."

In housing news, home price gains remain robust. Leading analytics firm CoreLogic reported that home prices, including distressed sales, rose 7.1 percent from March 2016 to March 2017. It was the 62nd consecutive month of gains. From February to March, prices were up 1.6 percent. The year-over-year home price index is now just 2.8 percent below its 2006 peak. Despite weak economic growth, home prices continue to rise due in part to low inventories of homes for sale.

Home loan rates remain attractive, which is positive news in the face of rising home prices.

If you or someone you know is in the market for a new home or a home refinance, please contact me. I'd be happy to answer any questions about home loan rates and products.

Forecast for the Week

Merchants are looking for signs of a Retail Sales rebound when April numbers are released on Friday.

Economic data is on the slow side this week beginning on Thursday with weekly Initial Jobless Claims.

We'll get a read on inflation with the Producer Price Index on Thursday and the Consumer Price Index Friday.

Also on Friday, Retail Sales and the Consumer Sentiment Index will be delivered.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve. In contrast, strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.

When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving. When Bond prices are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

To go one step further, a red "candle" means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green "candle" means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes are on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.

As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds experienced some ups and downs recently. Home loan rates remain attractive and near historic lows.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday May 05, 2017)

Posted in Real Estate News
May 5, 2017

INCLINE VILLAGE GOLF COURSES OPENING SOON!

 

 

2017 opening dates
View this email in your browser
opening dates
Golf season is just around the corner! With the help our amazing grounds crew and some more warm weather we will be playing golf in no time. All opening dates are weather permitting and will include cart restrictions:
  • Championship Course: Back 9 Holes - Friday May 19 
  • The Grille at The Chateau: Friday May 19
  • Championship Course: Front 9 Holes (entire course) - Friday May 26 
  • Mountain Course: Early June TBD
practice opening dates

Practice Facilities

Brush up on your game and start practicing now! Our practice facilities at the Championship Course are set to open on the following dates:
  • Indoor Simulator: open now through May 10
  • Driving Range: Friday, May 12
  • Chipping Green: Friday, May 19
  • Putting Green: Friday May 19

Championship Golf Shop Spring Hours: 9am-6pm daily - 775-832-1146

get golf ready

Register for Get Golf Ready

Are you new to golf or returning after many years? Get Golf Ready is a series designed to teach everything you’ll need to play golf in just five lessons for only $135. We're also offering some Level 2 courses for graduates or golfers who already know the basics.

Register now! Session 1 is May 15-19 and some of the other sessions have already filled up. View full schedule and details online.  
 

2017 Play Passes for Sale

We offer Play Passes for both courses or just one course, for individuals, families and now for couples! View rates and details online

IVGID Picture Pass holders receive special discounts on Play Passes. Login with your IVGID Pass ID to view rates

Purchase at the Championship Course Golf Shop or call 775-832-1146. 
 
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 Championship Course 955 Fairway Blvd & Mountain Course 690 Wilson Way
 Incline Village, NV 89451

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Posted in Community News
May 5, 2017

RISING RENTS OFFER MORE HOME BUYING OPPORTUNITIES

As rising rents sweep the country, the channel between the cost of owning and the cost of renting continues to slim. According to the latest Florida Atlantic University national index, today’s active rental prices make for a great time to purchase a home.

“We are not where we were in 2012, when nearly any purchase was a sound financial decision,” said Ken Johnson, Ph.D., real estate economist and index authors, in a recent press release. “However, overall, we are now in a situation where aggressive marketing from sellers combined with due diligence and sound negotiation from buyers is creating a housing market that’s more in line with what we’ve seen historically.”

The index, called the Beracha, Hardin & Johnson Buy vs. Rent (BH&J) Index, shows that 15 of the 23 cities studied are set in buy territory, while another five are only marginally in rent territory. This news only further fortifies the positive outcome of the latest S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, which showed home prices rising at the highest annual increase since June 2014, roughly 5.8 percent year-over-year. Out of the 23 cities studied in the BH&J index, the only urban places to show discouraging market conditions are Dallas, Denver and Houston.

“The scores for Dallas, Denver and Houston have worried us for some time now,” said Eli Beracha, Ph.D., co-author of the index and assistant professor in the T&S Hollo School of Real Estate at FIU. “The last time we saw scores of this magnitude, housing market crashes soon followed.”

The overall verdict seems to be, if you can afford to buy in, the time to do so is now.

To reach their finding, the FAU index incorporated property appreciation from housing markets around the country. This data is joined by rental, maintenance and alternative investment data streams. Together, these factors can indicate when (and why) housing markets might change direction.

Posted in Community News
April 24, 2017

REAL ESTATE - LAST WEEK IN REVIEW AND FORECAST FOR THIS WEEK

Inclement weather during March in the Midwest and Northeast sent a chill in residential new home construction after the unseasonably warm weather in February.

The Commerce Department reported that Housing Starts in March fell nearly 7 percent from February to an annual rate of 1.215 million annualized units, below the 1.256 million expected. February's reading was revised higher to 1.303 million from 1.288 million. From March 2016 to March 2017, Housing Starts were up 9 percent.

Hopefully, the weather will hold for future construction, as Building Permits in March were up 3.6 percent from the revised February reading and 17 percent above March 2016.

Builder confidence remained solid in April, though it did fall three points to a level of 68 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. The index gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales, sales expectations for the next six months and traffic of prospective buyers. Readings over 50 indicate positive sentiment.

The National Association of REALTORS® reported that Existing Home Sales hit their highest pace in over 10 years in March, with sales climbing 4.4 percent from February to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.71 million units. March's sales pace is 5.9 percent above a year ago and surpasses January as the strongest month of sales since February 2007. However, demand continues to outweigh supply with inventories down 6.6 percent from a year ago.

If you or someone you know is in the market for a home, please contact me. Home loan rates remain at 2017 lows.

Forecast for the Week

First quarter economic growth is expected to be weak when reported at week's end.

Housing data this week comes from the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index and New Home Sales on Tuesday. Pending Home Sales will be released on Thursday.

Consumer Confidence will be released on Tuesday followed by the Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday.

Durable Goods Orders and weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be delivered on Thursday. On Friday, Gross Domestic Product and the Chicago PMI will be released.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve. In contrast, strong economic news normally has the opposite result. The chart below shows Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), which are the type of Bond on which home loan rates are based.

When you see these Bond prices moving higher, it means home loan rates are improving. When Bond prices are moving lower, home loan rates are getting worse.

To go one step further, a red "candle" means that MBS worsened during the day, while a green "candle" means MBS improved during the day. Depending on how dramatic the changes are on any given day, this can cause rate changes throughout the day, as well as on the rate sheets we start with each morning.

As you can see in the chart below, Mortgage Bonds reached their best levels of the year in recent days, keeping home loan rates near historic lows.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday Apr 21, 2017)

Posted in Real Estate News